Friday, September 24, 2010

The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves

The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves Review



It is highly fashionable nowadays to argue (or at least rhetorically assert) that human beings are degrading their natural environment at an ever increasing rate, so much so that it may one day become uninhabitable, and long before that it will so constrain human development that wars, disease, famine and civil strife will skyrocket. The triple whammy of financial meltdown, climate change and resource depletion will make the 21st Century a dismal time to be alive.

Matt Ridley respectfully begs to differ. Already the vast majority of human beings are much better off than they have been at any prior time in history. Even though formidable challenges remain to securing world prosperity, a person alive today has a much better chance of being well fed, adequately clothed, gainfully employed and entertained than at any previous time. Even the very poor in most developed countries enjoy luxuries that even kings could not previously procure, such as sewage disposal and running water, to say nothing of the fact that many of them have TVs, air conditioning, cell phones, etc. Vast inequality remains, but all things considered it is much better (at least in most parts of the world) to be poor today than it was to be poor in the Middle Ages, for example.

Ridley devotes the first part of his book to an examination of how we got here. How did human beings manage to escape, or at least continue to evade, the 'Malthusian trap' that keeps the population and development of other species down? Ridley considers in detail currently popular models (such as Jared Diamond's focus on geographical resources) but finds them inadequate. He argues that the crucial factor in the emergence of modern humanity was the development of specialized trade, not only of products but also of ideas. Being able to trade for certain items means that one does not have to make or procure them oneself, which encourages specialization. Instead of spending all day both hunting and fishing, for example, if you can find someone who's a better fisherman than you and can trade (some of) your hunting trophies for fish, the time that would have been spent fishing can now be better spent learning to be a better hunter, which means greater productivity. Up to this point it's Economics 101, but Ridley applies the same reasoning to the development of ideas and language. In a pithy turn of phrase, Ridley speaks of 'ideas having sex', the kind of combination and recombination of ideas that leads to innovation. Together, specialized exchange of products and ideas lead to the amazing technological and social developments we now take for granted (trade also encourages the development of social virtues like trust, which are essential for social cohesion).

Ridley then moves on to the present time, arguing that technology has prevented the human impact on our environment from being even greater, and is in fact restoring many parts of our environment. For example, modern agriculture allows human beings to use much less land for farming than they otherwise would have, which means more land can stay forested or wild. Water and air are also on the whole much cleaner around cities in the developed world than in the developing world. He makes a strong case that the best way to protect the environment is to cultivate prosperity, because only people with a fairly high standard of living can afford to care about their impact on the environment. People living at subsistence level will use whatever resources they can to stay afloat, even if they completely deplete them in the process.

It would be a Herculean task to summarize all the information, arguments and insights presented by this book. Ridley's coverage is encyclopedic and his discussion exhaustive on many issues. Suffice it to say that this is a powerful argument against pessimism and for rational hope, which however does not mean seeing the world through rose-colored glasses: Ridley acknowledges that there are real and formidable challenges to human prosperity and environmental health. But overall the human historical trend is in the direction of more innovation and greater prosperity, and there are few reasons to think that this trend won't continue into the future.

To summarize all of the book's insights and arguments would be a Herculean task, because Ridley's discussion is so wide-ranging.



The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves Feature


  • ISBN13: 9780061452055
  • Condition: New
  • Notes: BUY WITH CONFIDENCE, Over one million books sold! 98% Positive feedback. Compare our books, prices and service to the competition. 100% Satisfaction Guaranteed



The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves Overview


Life is getting better—and at an accelerating rate. Food availability, income, and life span are up; disease, child mortality, and violence are down — all across the globe. Though the world is far from perfect, necessities and luxuries alike are getting cheaper; population growth is slowing; Africa is following Asia out of poverty; the Internet, the mobile phone, and container shipping are enriching people’s lives as never before. The pessimists who dominate public discourse insist that we will soon reach a turning point and things will start to get worse. But they have been saying this for two hundred years.

Yet Matt Ridley does more than describe how things are getting better. He explains why. Prosperity comes from everybody working for everybody else. The habit of exchange and specialization—which started more than 100,000 years ago—has created a collective brain that sets human living standards on a rising trend. The mutual dependence, trust, and sharing that result are causes for hope, not despair.

This bold book covers the entire sweep of human history, from the Stone Age to the Internet, from the stagnation of the Ming empire to the invention of the steam engine, from the population explosion to the likely consequences of climate change. It ends with a confident assertion that thanks to the ceaseless capacity of the human race for innovative change, and despite inevitable disasters along the way, the twenty-first century will see both human prosperity and natural biodiversity enhanced. Acute, refreshing, and revelatory, The Rational Optimist will change your way of thinking about the world for the better.




Available at Amazon Check Price Now!




*** Product Information and Prices Stored: Sep 25, 2010 00:52:05

Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion

Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion Review



This is a great book that I really wish had been written when I was first learning econometrics. It is probably best appreciated by someone who has already taken one or two econometrics classes and has had some exposure to applied econometrics research. If you haven't taken econometrics yet you will not really appreciate the 'paradigm shift' that they are trying to explain nor appreciate some of the humor and storytelling. But if you are like myself someone who first learned econometrics more than a decade ago you'll find yourself reading this book page by page with appreciation. I feel that it is helping me to develop a much more mature understanding of the field of applied micro econometrics (helping me to confirm hunches and general notions I already and also new gems of insight). There are many cookbooks that might explain the methods in more depth (e.g. Cameron and Trivedi Microeconometrics) but that's not the purpose of this book. It's purpose is to make you think more about 'research design' which is to say about the questions that you pose, and how you pose them, rather than the methods that you use to try to arrive at answers. For too long econometricians got lost in the details of methods without taking a step back to think about some really fundamental questions first. The book is filled with examples of both good and bad research and you'll be surprised at how bad some past very influential research looks in light of modern day paradigms. It's not that these earlier researchers didn't know enough math, it's that they used the math without clear enough purpose.

This book will make you a better economist and beyond that make you see the world around you slightly differently. You'll end up with a keener eye for all those natural experiments happening all around you. If you are an advanced undergraduate, MA or starting PhD student with any pretensions of becoming engaged in original applied economics research this book should be a "must have" on your bookshelf.




Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion Overview


The core methods in today's econometric toolkit are linear regression for statistical control, instrumental variables methods for the analysis of natural experiments, and differences-in-differences methods that exploit policy changes. In the modern experimentalist paradigm, these techniques address clear causal questions such as: Do smaller classes increase learning? Should wife batterers be arrested? How much does education raise wages? Mostly Harmless Econometrics shows how the basic tools of applied econometrics allow the data to speak.

In addition to econometric essentials, Mostly Harmless Econometrics covers important new extensions--regression-discontinuity designs and quantile regression--as well as how to get standard errors right. Joshua Angrist and Jörn-Steffen Pischke explain why fancier econometric techniques are typically unnecessary and even dangerous. The applied econometric methods emphasized in this book are easy to use and relevant for many areas of contemporary social science.

  • An irreverent review of econometric essentials
  • A focus on tools that applied researchers use most
  • Chapters on regression-discontinuity designs, quantile regression, and standard errors
  • Many empirical examples
  • A clear and concise resource with wide applications



Available at Amazon Check Price Now!




*** Product Information and Prices Stored: Sep 24, 2010 19:28:04

The Energy Bus: 10 Rules to Fuel Your Life, Work, and Team with Positive Energy

The Energy Bus: 10 Rules to Fuel Your Life, Work, and Team with Positive Energy Review



This is an excellent book with timely, poignant information which I have already used again and again. It is written in the spirit of "The Secret" by Rhonda Byrne with very Law of Attraction(ess) phrasing and behavioral encouragement. I would consider it a must have for anyone who is weary of being affected by toxic, complaining, whiny relationships!



The Energy Bus: 10 Rules to Fuel Your Life, Work, and Team with Positive Energy Feature


  • ISBN13: 9780470100288
  • Condition: New
  • Notes: BUY WITH CONFIDENCE, Over one million books sold! 98% Positive feedback. Compare our books, prices and service to the competition. 100% Satisfaction Guaranteed



The Energy Bus: 10 Rules to Fuel Your Life, Work, and Team with Positive Energy Overview


The Energy Bus, an international best seller by Jon Gordon, takes readers on an enlightening and inspiring ride that reveals 10 secrets for approaching life and work with the kind of positive, forward thinking that leads to true accomplishment - at work and at home. Jon infuses this engaging story with keen insights as he provides a powerful roadmap to overcome adversity and bring out the best in yourself and your team. When you get on The Energy Bus you’ll enjoy the ride of your life!


Available at Amazon Check Price Now!




*** Product Information and Prices Stored: Sep 24, 2010 05:55:05

Thursday, September 23, 2010

48 Days to the Work You Love

48 Days to the Work You Love Review



This is a great book that I highly recommend to anyone that is having issues deciding what they'd like to do with their lives. It might not tell you exactly what you in particular should do with your life, but it will give you plenty of ideas as to what you could possibly do. It will also form a general road map in how to get there. It's a really good book that everyone should read.



48 Days to the Work You Love Feature


  • ISBN13: 9780805444797
  • Condition: New
  • Notes: BUY WITH CONFIDENCE, Over one million books sold! 98% Positive feedback. Compare our books, prices and service to the competition. 100% Satisfaction Guaranteed



48 Days to the Work You Love Overview


48 Days to the Work You Love is not about finding a new job. It is about finding out what you are going to “be.” According to Dan Miller, failing to make that fundamental discovery is why so many people find themselves in jobs they hate. But the great news is this book will lead you to the vocation you will love. Dan Miller will help you see clear patterns form from which you can make successful career and job decisions by understanding your God-given skills and abilities, personality traits, values, dreams, and passions. These patterns create a compass for you. Finding the work you love is finding the fulfillment of your calling.



Available at Amazon Check Price Now!




*** Product Information and Prices Stored: Sep 23, 2010 22:18:06

Double Take: An FBI Thriller

Double Take: An FBI Thriller Review



Book arrived in excellent condition. Short ship time. Very satisfied with both book and seller. Would gladly do business with seller again.




Double Take: An FBI Thriller Overview


The police are convinced that Julia Ransom was guilty of the brutal murder of her husband, renowned psychic August Ransom. But after six months of investigation and media frenzy, she is free of their scrutiny, because of the lack of evidence. One afternoon she walks from her Pacific Heights home to Fisherman’s Wharf, alone, unwatched - and, she realizes, happy. Standing at the railing on Pier 39, she savors the sounds around her - tourists, countless seals on the barges - and for a moment enjoys the sheer normalcy of it all.

It suddenly comes to an end when a respectable-looking man distracts her with conversation before striking her unconscious and heaving her over the railing into San Francisco Bay. If it weren’t for Special Agent Cheney Stone, Julia would’ve drown. Cheney quickly realizes the attempt on Julia’s life has to connect to the murder of her husband, and reopens the investigation with the SFPD.

Meanwhile, in Maestro, Virginia, Sheriff Dixon Noble - last seen in Point Blank - learns about a woman named Charlotte Pallack, whose extraordinary resemblance to his vanished wife, Christie, gone for three years, sends him across the country. Although in his heart he knows that this woman can’t possibly be his missing wife, Dix is compelled to see her with his own eyes.

In San Francisco, Dix’s and Cheney’s paths cross, brought together by FBI Special Agents Dillon Savich and Lacey Sherlock. All four begin to unlock the mystery behind Charlotte Pallack’s identity, as well as the forces behind Julia Ransom’s attempted murder and the vicious murder of her husband.

The most fascinating aspect of the case is the extraordinary cast of psychics they meet as they push deep into the intriguing and complex world of visions, mind benders, and communications to the dead.

As the stakes and the body count rise, Savich, Sherlock, Dix, and Cheney fight for answers - and their lives.


Available at Amazon Check Price Now!




*** Product Information and Prices Stored: Sep 23, 2010 15:49:05

The Starfish and the Spider: The Unstoppable Power of Leaderless Organizations

The Starfish and the Spider: The Unstoppable Power of Leaderless Organizations Review



This book is filled with valuable insights contrasting the more traditional "command and control" organization (the spider) to the flatter "Community of Interest" driven organization (the starfish) observed as a trend in many successful businesses today. Much of this is driven by, and modeled after the global Internet taking advantage of the "Network Effect" which increases the value of the network with the addition of every new member.

I was able to draw a number of parallels between this body of work and the thinking presented by Clay Shirkey on the power of de-centralization on TED. He does a very nice job or presenting issues with the traditional Organizational Hierarchy, which is exclusionary in nature, and leaves a lot of productivity on the table when compared with Communities of Interest (COI's) as he observed in recent Social Networking.

In my current organization we are struggling with many of these concepts as we evolve from being "directory" driven to multiple intersecting COI's with "Catalysts" instead of commanders. These COI's are driven by Vision, Strategy, and Funding via various Boards and Councils at the Executive level of the Company. It's a wild ride and I'm really glad to be here. Traditional management is being redefined to provide infrastructure and empower the COI's while delivering on organizational imperatives, increasing productivity, and creating a sense of community for the individual contributor.

As with any shift in culture for a large organization, the real success will be measured in years not quarters. In my observation, the most difficult thing for the more traditional manager to learn is how to let go and trust the community (with some measure of chaos inherent) while acting as a "Catalyst" where appropriate. There will always be the case for a more heavy handed approach from management but we know very well how to do that already. What we are learning now is collaboration.

Though we are at the infancy of this process and blazing new trails, I have high hopes. We are clearly evolving toward a "hybrid organization" as outlined in the book, continually searching for that sweet spot that lies somewhere between "command and control" and complete decentralization.
After reading this one, I have a much better understanding of where we need to go as an organization and what my role will be in helping us get there. I now consider myself a member of the "Starfish Revolution" armed with a new vocabulary to talk "starfish" as we embrace a new style of management to lead successful hybrid organizations in the rapidly changing business world we are facing today.



The Starfish and the Spider: The Unstoppable Power of Leaderless Organizations Feature


  • ISBN13: 9781591841838
  • Condition: New
  • Notes: BUY WITH CONFIDENCE, Over one million books sold! 98% Positive feedback. Compare our books, prices and service to the competition. 100% Satisfaction Guaranteed



The Starfish and the Spider: The Unstoppable Power of Leaderless Organizations Overview


If you cut off a spider’s head, it dies; if you cut off a starfish’s leg it grows a new one, and that leg can grow into an entirely new starfish. Traditional top-down organizations are like spiders, but now starfish organizations are changing the face of business and the world.

What’s the hidden power behind the success of Wikipedia, craigslist, and Skype? What do eBay and General Electric have in common with the abolitionist and women’s rights movements? What fundamental choice put General Motors and Toyota on vastly different paths?

Ori Brafman and Rod Beckstrom have discovered some unexpected answers, gripping stories, and a tapestry of unlikely connections. The Starfish and the Spider explores what happens when starfish take on spiders and reveals how established companies and institutions, from IBM to Intuit to the U.S. government, are also learning how to incorporate starfish principles to achieve success.


Available at Amazon Check Price Now!




*** Product Information and Prices Stored: Sep 23, 2010 09:35:12

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Power Hungry: The Myths of "Green" Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future

Power Hungry: The Myths of "Green" Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future Review



Bryce bills himself as a purveyor of "industrial strength journalism," and 'Power Hungry' doesn't disappoint. Starting with a clear statement of his own energy policy - "I'm in favor of air conditioning and cold beer." - Bryce provides a muscular, data-driven analysis of our modern industrial civilization and the changing mix of energy sources that power it. This is an eye-opening discussion that does an unusually good job of conveying the scale of our existing energy infrastructure, and the challenge of providing adequate energy supplies for the future, not just for the US and Europe, but for the developing world and the third world as well, under the constraints of economics and decarbonization.

Bryce articulate four energy imperatives - power density, energy density, cost, and scale - and uses them as a consistent framework for looking at what he calls the "Myths of Green Energy." His "myths" run the gamut from the idea that wind power can really reduce overall CO2 emissions, to the idea that the US lags other countries in energy efficiency, to the idea that carbon capture and sequestration could work at scale, and intriguingly, even the idea that oil is a dirty fuel compared to the alternatives. While the debunking of green alternatives has flaws, especially in the lack of attention to advanced biofuels, smart grid technologies, and green building materials, it is refreshingly apolitical - focused on facts, practical alternatives, and the requirements of scale.

In some ways Bryce ends up with conclusions similar to those of Bill McKibben in his recent book 'Eaarth' - we will not be able to turn the tide on atmospheric CO2 quickly enough: the scale is too large, the transition times are too long, the pressure for global development is too great. We will have no choice but to mitigate some problems and adapt to the rest. However, instead of advocating acceptance of a "graceful decline" as McKibben does, Bryce lays out an energetic path forward, a "no regrets" policy he dubs N2N: shifting electrical generation aggressively towards natural gas in the near term, while investing in advanced nuclear technologies for the long run. The strongest element of the book is how he effectively links the future economic health of the US with rising prospects for the rest of the world ... and the massive quantities of carbon-free power that will require, not only for economic development, but for mitigating unavoidable climate change impacts as well. 'Power Hungry' is a challenging and valuable read for everyone interested in green energy and an effective response to the climate crisis.



Power Hungry: The Myths of "Green" Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future Feature


  • ISBN13: 9781586487898
  • Condition: New
  • Notes: BUY WITH CONFIDENCE, Over one million books sold! 98% Positive feedback. Compare our books, prices and service to the competition. 100% Satisfaction Guaranteed



Power Hungry: The Myths of "Green" Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future Overview


The promise of “green jobs” and a “clean energy future” has roused the masses. But as Robert Bryce makes clear in this provocative book, that vision needs a major re-vision. We cannot—and will not—quit using carbon-based fuels at any time in the near future for a simple reason: they provide the horsepower that we crave. The hard reality is that oil, coal, and natural gas are here to stay.

Fueling our society requires more than sentiment and rhetoric; we need to make good decisions and smart investments based on facts. In Power Hungry, Bryce provides a supertanker-load of footnoted facts while shepherding readers through basic physics and math. And with the help of a panoply of vivid graphics and tables, he crushes a phalanx of energy myths, showing why renewables are not green, carbon capture and sequestration won’t work, and even—surprise!—that the U.S. is leading the world in energy efficiency. He also charts the amazing growth of the fuels of the future: natural gas and nuclear.

Power Hungry delivers a clear-eyed view of what America has “in the tank,” and what’s needed to transform the gargantuan global energy sector.




Available at Amazon Check Price Now!




*** Product Information and Prices Stored: Sep 23, 2010 01:04:06